Head of Economic Analysis Unit, Strategy and Research Department | Eurasian Development Bank
Address: Abdullinykh-Str. 56 Almaty 050000 Kazakhstan Tel. +7 727 2444044 (ext.6146), fax + 727 2914263, +7 727 2446570
E-mail: vinokurov_ey@eabr.org z
Web: http://www.vinokurov.info
CV: resume.doc

Vinokurov, Evgeny (2007), A Theory of Enclaves, Lanham, MD: Lexington Books / Added on January 4, 2008

1999-11-30 (Submitted: Fri, 2008-01-04 15:22) categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

Attempting to provide a fully-fledged theory of enclaves and exclaves, A Theory of Enclaves covers a wide scope of regions and territories throughout the world and satisfies the need for a systematic view on enclaves. This book covers 282 enclaves, with a combined population total of approximately three million, but the importance of enclaves is much higher because of their specific status and issues raised for both the mainland states and the surrounding states: Gibraltar was disproportionately large for British-Spanish relations throughout the last three centuries, Kaliningrad managed to cause a major crisis in the EU-Russian relations in 2002-03, Tiny Ceuta and Melilla have caused tensions in Spanish-Moroccan relations for more than three centuries and have recently become visible as conflict points at the EU level, German Buesingen was subject to several complex international treaties between Germany and Switzerland. Rather than viewing each enclave as a unique case, or even as an anomaly, A Theory of Enclaves provides a systematic investigation of enclave-related political and economic issues. Rich on maps and illustrations, A Theory of Enclaves strives to comprise three facets of enclaves' existence: political, economic, and social life.


Kaliningrad: Enclaves and Economic Integration. By Evgeny Vinokurov

1999-11-30 (Submitted: Fri, 2007-03-09 14:27) categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

When the Soviet Union broke up, Kaliningrad suddenly found itself separated from mainland Russia by new frontiers. Hardly any other Russian region has been hit as hard by the economic disruption as Kaliningrad. The geographical situation of the region meant that it was more highly exposed to the destabilising effects of post-communist economic transformation. Since then, a dramatic trade opening has occurred, and regional trade and production have undergone profound changes. Kaliningrad has experienced a major shift in its economic orientation towards the tertiary sector and a new industrial orientation based on its position as an intermediary in EU–Russian trade. In short, that is what this report is about: the present and future economic development of this Russian enclave during its integration into the world economy, its place in the international division of labour and in the Russian–EU economic interface.


In Russia, With Russia: Kaliningrad’s Dependence on Russian Domestic Policy and Economic Development. By Evgeny Vinokurov

1999-11-30 (Submitted: Tue, 2007-01-23 15:41) categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

The principal argument of the paper is the following. Russia’s policy on Kaliningrad, above all the Special Economic Zone (SEZ) regime, renders the defining impact on Kaliningrad’s regional economic development. At the same time, changes in the external environment, of which the 2004 EU Enlargement is a major instance, have only a moderate impact on Kaliningrad. In other words, economic gravity of the enclave is determined politically (through the alliance with the mainland state) rather than geographically. Despite being detached from mainland Russia, its geographical proximity to the EU is by far less important than the special economic regime and other consequences of Kaliningrad being a Russian region.


Kaliningrad transit and visa issues revisited

Thu, 2006-07-20 07:50 categories: Articles
Authors: Evgeny Vinokurov

CEPS Commentary, July 2006

http://www.ceps.be/Article.php?article_id=531

The first crisis in EU-Russia relations over the ‘Kaliningrad transit’ issue took place in 2002-03, when Lithuania introduced a visa regime. That move provoked strong concerns in Russia that its Kaliningrad Region would be politically and economically detached from the mainland. Russia and Lithuania managed to reach a half-hearted compromise, which was implemented in July 2003. The compromise was at best temporary, however, since it was already known that Lithuania aspired to join the Schengen zone a few years later. Now that Lithuania will most probably join the Schengen zone by late 2007, that time has now about come. The consultations on the Kaliningrad transit issue are ongoing, although a final decision is not yet in sight. The prospects of achieving a comprehensive breakthrough are dim, due to the shallow nature of EU-Russia relations. To avoid a new crisis, another compromise is needed.

Bibliography on Kaliningrad

Tue, 2006-07-18 08:16 categories: Publications

Theory of Enclaves

Wed, 2005-11-16 14:37 categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

The complete version can be download from www.vinokurov.info/enclaves.htm,

This manuscript repsresents the work in progress.


What Can Replace the Kaliningrad SEZ?

2004-07-30 (Submitted: Mon, 2004-08-09 06:13) categories: Articles
Authors: Evgeny Vinokurov

It becomes more evident with the time that the existing SEZ in Kaliningrad will not last for long. Other ideas and options are discussed, including other designs for the Zone as well as its complete abortion. At the end of 2003, Mr. Shuvalov, Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration, was put in charge of working on a federal development concept for the region. The ideas of the Shuvalov’s Group are heavily criticized in the Kaliningrad Oblast. Due to the exclave position of Kaliningrad, the mere repudiation of the SEZ regime presents itself as a catastrophic policy option. The question of the replacement for the current SEZ remains open.

The inevitability of giving up the current SEZ regime in the medium- and long-term becomes more evident due to the two main reasons. First, it is possible to assume that the specific regime of the customs preferences in Kaliningrad contradicts the GATT norms. Secondly, the impact of the SEZ on the balance of payments as well as on the whole of the Russian economy is ambiguous due to the fact that the SEZ promotes imports creating conditions for the circumvention of the customs duties and indirectly subsidizing imports from the federal budget due to the absence of the VAT. Besides, the current Russian federal economic policy is targeted at the abandoning of the non-monetary privileges in favor of the more transparent monetary schemes.

Economic Prospects for Kaliningrad between EU Enlargement and Russia

Tue, 2004-06-08 13:51 categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

The Kaliningrad oblast of Russia is currently аn important focal point of discussions between the European Union and Russia. Although small in terms of geography and population, Kaliningrad has grown in importance due to the EU enlargement process. Since the break-up of the Soviet Union, the oblast has become аn exclave of Russia, and it is now set to also become en enclave within the EU.


Transit is just a part of it: Kaliningrad and free movement of people

2004-02-01 (Submitted: Wed, 2004-06-02 11:31) categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

The paper examines current stand on Kaliningrad transit issue analysing transit documents’ schemes after their implementation in 2003. Policy options for both Russia and the EU on the issue of movement of people concerning Kaliningrad Region are reviewed. The paper argues that passenger transit through Lithuania is just a part of a larger circle of problems and as such can be absorbed by more comprehensive solutions. A complex compromise solution is proposed on the basis of partial reciprocity. It is feasible for Russia to introduce visa-free regime for the EU citizens in Kaliningrad Region. On the EU side, visa regime for Kaliningrad may be kept intact, if multi-entry Schengen visas with longer validity will be made available to the residents of Kaliningrad and visa procedures will be eased up.


Kaliningrad in the framework of EU-Russian relations: moving toward common spaces

2003-11-30 (Submitted: Tue, 2004-04-20 13:00) categories: Publications
Authors:Evgeny Vinokurov

This paper explores the evolvement and change of approaches of both Russia and the EU to the Kaliningrad question over the last decade. The positions and approaches of Russia and the European Union vary on Kaliningrad-related issues. Different understandings of the Kaliningrad question as well as different concepts of the region dominate foreign policy in the EU and Russia. Nevertheless, a trend for a slow rapprochement is revealed.